Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.1 goals in total. Probability 81%. Price check: 1.20 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Gimnasia Chivilcoy edge it at home, 42% to 35%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 6th (27 pts), Douglas Haig 2nd (31 pts).
Recent form
Gimnasia Chivilcoy bring a L W D D D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Douglas Haig, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.2 a game.
Douglas Haig bring a W W L W D D line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Gimnasia Chivilcoy, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0 wins, Douglas Haig 1, draws 1; 0.5 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): Douglas Haig 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.1, Douglas Haig 1.0 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 62%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 81, bookmaker price around 1.20 against a fair 1.23. Likeliest score: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Douglas Haig. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
last 6- L@ Douglas Haig0–18 Nov
- Wv Boca Unidos3–01 Nov
- D@ Boca Unidos0–025 Oct
- Dv Defensores de Vilelas3–318 Oct
- D@ Defensores de Vilelas1–111 Oct
- Lv Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–24 Oct
Douglas Haig
last 6- Wv Gimnasia Chivilcoy1–08 Nov
- Wv Villa Mitre3–01 Nov
- L@ Villa Mitre0–125 Oct
- Wv El Linqueño1–018 Oct
- D@ El Linqueño0–011 Oct
- Dv Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–020 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 8 Nov 2026Douglas Haig1–0Gimnasia Chivilcoy
- 20 Sep 2026Douglas Haig0–0Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Torneo Federal A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | +9 | 31 |
| 2 |  Douglas Haig | 18 | +7 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 |  San Martin Formosa | 16 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 |  Alvarado | 16 | +12 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 |  Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |  Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | +6 | 26 |
| 9 |  Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | +6 | 26 |
| 10 |  Sol de América | 16 | +5 | 26 |
| 11 |  Juventud Antoniana | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 12 |  Cipolletti | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 13 |  Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 14 |  9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | +1 | 25 |
| 15 |  Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | -1 | 24 |
| 16 |  Villa Mitre | 16 | +6 | 23 |
| 17 |  Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 18 |  Atenas | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 19 |  Huracan Las Heras | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 20 |  Atletico Escobar | 18 | -8 | 22 |
| 21 |  Fundacion Amigos | 16 | +3 | 21 |
| 22 |  Deportivo Rincon | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 23 |  San Martín Mendoza | 16 | -4 | 19 |
| 24 |  Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 25 |  Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | -7 | 19 |
| 26 |  El Linqueño | 18 | -7 | 19 |
| 27 |  Costa Brava | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 28 |  Sol de Mayo | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 29 |  Boca Unidos | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 30 |  Germinal de Rawson | 16 | -7 | 18 |
| 31 |  Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 32 |  Tucuman Central | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 33 |  Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | -6 | 17 |
| 34 |  Guillermo Brown | 16 | -7 | 17 |
| 35 |  Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | -11 | 15 |
| 36 |  Santamarina | 16 | -8 | 13 |
| 37 |  Circulo Deportivo | 16 | -8 | 13 |
More Torneo Federal A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 81, priced around 1.20 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Gimnasia Chivilcoy or Douglas Haig?
The model gives Gimnasia Chivilcoy 42%, the draw 22% and Douglas Haig 35%.
What is the likeliest score in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Douglas Haig.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 38% and both teams to score 53%.
When does Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 21:00 WAT – Torneo Federal A.