Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales prediction: Under 2.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.1 goals in total. Probability 67%. Price check: 1.36 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
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Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Deportivo Moron edge it at home, 51% to 21%, with the draw on 28%. Table: Deportivo Moron 3rd (61 pts), Colegiales 7th (52 pts).
Recent form
Deportivo Moron – sample of six: W L L L W L, with two wins. Most recent: v Ciudad de Bolívar, 2–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Colegiales bring a D D W D W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at San Martin Tucuman, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Deportivo Moron 1.3, Colegiales 0.8 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 67%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.36 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Colegiales. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Deportivo Moron
last 6- Wv Ciudad de Bolívar2–031 Oct
- L@ Almirante Brown0–125 Oct
- Lv Atletico Mitre0–218 Oct
- L@ CA Estudiantes0–211 Oct
- Wv All Boys2–13 Oct
- L@ Los Andes1–227 Sep
Colegiales
last 6- D@ San Martin Tucuman0–031 Oct
- Dv Atletico DE Rafaela1–125 Oct
- W@ Agropecuario3–017 Oct
- Dv Tristan Suarez0–010 Oct
- W@ Club Atlético Güemes1–04 Oct
- Wv Chacarita Juniors2–127 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Primera Nacional table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League page →
Gimnasia Jujuy2
Tristan SuarezFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.36 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Deportivo Moron or Colegiales?
The model gives Deportivo Moron 51%, the draw 28% and Colegiales 21%.
What is the likeliest score in Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Colegiales.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 33% and both teams to score 47%.
When does Deportivo Moron vs Colegiales kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 19:00 WAT, at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano – Primera Nacional.