Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro prediction: Under 2.5 goals
2.0 projected goals keeps this under 2.5. The line lands in 67% of the model's runs. At 1.44 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Ferro Carril Oeste 54%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 19%, draw 27%. Table: Ferro Carril Oeste 2nd (66 pts), Gimnasia Y Tiro 8th (52 pts).
Recent form
Ferro Carril Oeste – sample of six: D L W D L W, with two wins. Most recent: at Acassuso, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Gimnasia Y Tiro read L L W D L W (two wins). Most recent: v Quilmes, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2, Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.7 – 2.0 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 67%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ferro Carril Oeste
last 6- D@ Acassuso0–031 Oct
- Lv Chaco For Ever0–324 Oct
- Wv Racing Cordoba1–017 Oct
- D@ Central Norte1–111 Oct
- Lv Deportivo Madryn0–22 Oct
- W@ Defensores De Belgrano1–027 Sep
Gimnasia Y Tiro
last 6- Lv Quilmes0–131 Oct
- L@ Midland0–325 Oct
- Wv Atlanta3–117 Oct
- D@ Gimnasia Jujuy2–211 Oct
- L@ San Martin Tucuman0–14 Oct
- Wv Atletico DE Rafaela1–027 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Primera Nacional table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Ferro Carril Oeste or Gimnasia Y Tiro?
The model gives Ferro Carril Oeste 54%, the draw 27% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 19%.
What is the likeliest score in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro.
How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 33% and both teams to score 46%.
When does Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 00:30 WAT, at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry – Primera Nacional.