SONABEL vs USFA prediction: Under 2.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 1.9 goals in total. Probability 70%. Price check: 1.32 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
USFA shade it on the road, 49% to 22%. Table: SONABEL 11th (7 pts), USFA 3rd (17 pts).
Recent form
SONABEL bring a L W W L L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Rahimo, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.
USFA – sample of six: W L W W W D, with four wins. Most recent: v Comoé, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.5 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): SONABEL 1–1 USFA. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: SONABEL 0.7, USFA 1.2 – 1.9 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 70%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.44. Likeliest score: SONABEL 0–1 USFA. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
SONABEL
last 6- L@ Rahimo0–124 Oct
- W@ Sporting Cascades3–010 Oct
- Wv Comoé2–05 Oct
- L@ FocuSport2–326 Sep
- Lv Majestic0–118 Sep
- L@ Vitesse0–213 Mar
USFA
last 6- Wv Comoé1–024 Oct
- Lv ASFA-Yennenga1–212 Oct
- W@ RCK2–04 Oct
- Wv Salitas3–027 Sep
- W@ Maya1–019 Sep
- D@ CFFEB1–13 Apr
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 1 Mar 2026SONABEL1–1USFA
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League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for SONABEL vs USFA?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, SONABEL or USFA?
The model gives SONABEL 22%, the draw 29% and USFA 49%.
What is the likeliest score in SONABEL vs USFA?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is SONABEL 0–1 USFA.
How many goals are expected in SONABEL vs USFA?
Around 1.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 30% and both teams to score 48%.
When does SONABEL vs USFA kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT, at Stade de la SONABEL – Ligue 1.