Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Once Caldas (1.2) plus Atletico Nacional (1.3) puts 2.5 goals on the board. Mind Score 70. Once Caldas's form is mixed (DDWWD, 2 W 3 D 0 L); Atletico Nacional's form is mixed (DDWDW, 2 W 3 D 0 L). Price check: 1.31 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Once Caldas 35%, draw 24%, Atletico Nacional 41%.
Recent form
The last six for Once Caldas read W W W D D W (four wins). Most recent: v Águilas Doradas, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Atletico Nacional – sample of six: W D W W W L, with four wins. Most recent: v Deportivo Pereira, 4–3 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico Nacional. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Once Caldas 1.2, Atletico Nacional 1.3 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.31 against a fair 1.42. Likeliest score: Once Caldas 1–2 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Once Caldas
last 6- Wv Águilas Doradas1–07 Nov
- W@ Santa Fe2–02 Nov
- Wv Alianza Valledupar1–029 Oct
- Dv Deportivo Pereira1–125 Oct
- D@ Millonarios1–121 Oct
- W@ Independiente Medellin2–018 Oct
Atletico Nacional
last 6- Wv Deportivo Pereira4–38 Nov
- D@ Bucaramanga1–13 Nov
- Wv Santa Fe2–030 Oct
- Wv Independiente Medellin2–126 Oct
- Wv Deportivo Pasto3–023 Oct
- L@ Cucuta0–121 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 2 May 2026Once Caldas1–0Atletico Nacional
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Internacional de Bogota1
America de Cali2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.31 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Once Caldas or Atletico Nacional?
The model gives Once Caldas 35%, the draw 24% and Atletico Nacional 41%.
What is the likeliest score in Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Once Caldas 1–2 Atletico Nacional.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional kick off?
Wednesday 11 November 2026, 02:30 WAT, at Estadio Palogrande – Copa Colombia.