406 matches analysed today 5 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 08:44 WATTelegram18+
Friendlies Fri 13 Nov 2026 · Air Albania Stadium Full time
3–1
Half-time 2–1
57%Albania U2124%Draw19%Luxembourg U21

Albania U21 vs Luxembourg U21 prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Under 3.5 goals

Only 2.7 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 67% of the model's runs. At 1.44 the market and the model roughly agree.

67Mind Score Odds1.44 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Albania U211.7357% X · Draw3.8024% 2 · Luxembourg U213.6019%

Double chance

1X1.1481% 121.1876% X22.5043%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2077% Under 1.54.3323%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6554% Under 2.52.2046%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.6233% Under 3.51.4467%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6757% NG · No2.1043%

Half-time result

HT 12.0042% HT X2.5041% HT 25.5018%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Albania U21 57%, Luxembourg U21 19%, draw 24%.

Recent form

Albania U21 – sample of four: D L L D, with zero wins. Most recent: at Ukraine U21, 2–2 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Luxembourg U21 – sample of six: W L W L D L, with two wins. Most recent: v Estonia U21, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 2.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Albania U21 1.8, Luxembourg U21 0.9 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 57%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.48. Likeliest score: Albania U21 1–0 Luxembourg U21. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Albania U21

last 4
  • D@ Ukraine U212–25 Oct
  • L@ Algeria U210–226 Aug
  • L@ Italy U210–18 Jun
  • D@ Slovenia U211–15 Jun
0.8scored / game1.5conceded50%GG25%over 2.5

Luxembourg U21

last 6
  • Wv Estonia U213–06 Oct
  • L@ France U212–33 Oct
  • W@ Faroe Islands U211–030 Sep
  • L@ Switzerland U210–525 Sep
  • D@ Kosovo U210–06 Jun
  • Lv France U211–526 Mar
1.2scored / game2.2conceded33%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More Friendlies predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Albania U21 vs Luxembourg U21?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Albania U21 or Luxembourg U21?

The model gives Albania U21 57%, the draw 24% and Luxembourg U21 19%.

What is the likeliest score in Albania U21 vs Luxembourg U21?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Albania U21 1–0 Luxembourg U21.

How many goals are expected in Albania U21 vs Luxembourg U21?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 57%.

When does Albania U21 vs Luxembourg U21 kick off?

Friday 13 November 2026, 19:00 WAT, at Air Albania Stadium – Friendlies.