421 matches analysed today 53 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:30 WATTelegram18+
Uruguay Segunda División Wed 11 Nov 2026 Full time
1–3
Half-time 1–0

Miramar

LWWLD
28%Tacuarembo24%Draw49%Miramar

Tacuarembo vs Miramar prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

Tacuarembo (0.9) plus Miramar (1.3) puts 2.2 goals on the board. Probability 65%. Miramar won most recently (WDL). Price check: 1.39 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

65Mind Score Odds1.39 Score0–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Tacuarembo3.7028% X · Draw2.8424% 2 · Miramar2.0049%

Double chance

1X1.6151% 121.3076% X21.1872%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3965% Under 1.52.5935%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.2939% Under 2.51.5361%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.1520% Under 3.51.1680%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.9753% NG · No1.6947%

Half-time result

HT 14.7020% HT X1.8347% HT 22.7533%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Miramar shade it on the road, 49% to 28%. Table: Tacuarembo 13th (26 pts), Miramar 11th (33 pts).

Recent form

Tacuarembo – sample of six: D D L L L D, with zero wins. Most recent: at CA River Plate, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Miramar – sample of six: D L W W L D, with two wins. Most recent: v Plaza Colonia, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Aug 2026): Miramar 1–1 Tacuarembo. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Tacuarembo 0.9, Miramar 1.3 – 2.2 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 61%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.39 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: Tacuarembo 0–2 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Tacuarembo

last 6
  • D@ CA River Plate1–11 Nov
  • D@ Plaza Colonia1–124 Oct
  • Lv La Luz0–117 Oct
  • L@ Cerrito1–210 Oct
  • Lv Atenas0–13 Oct
  • D@ Paysandu2–228 Sep
0.8scored / game1.3conceded67%GG33%over 2.5

Miramar

last 6
  • Dv Plaza Colonia1–11 Nov
  • L@ La Luz0–325 Oct
  • W@ Eastern Suburbs4–125 Oct
  • Wv Cerrito1–018 Oct
  • Lv Auckland City0–217 Oct
  • D@ Atenas1–111 Oct
1.2scored / game1.3conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 9 Aug 2026Miramar1–1Tacuarembo

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Tacuarembo vs Miramar?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.39 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Tacuarembo or Miramar?

The model gives Tacuarembo 28%, the draw 24% and Miramar 49%.

What is the likeliest score in Tacuarembo vs Miramar?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Tacuarembo 0–2 Miramar.

How many goals are expected in Tacuarembo vs Miramar?

Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 39% and both teams to score 53%.

When does Tacuarembo vs Miramar kick off?

Wednesday 11 November 2026, 20:30 WAT – Segunda División.