Cerrito vs Colón prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.4 projected goals. The line lands in 69% of the model's runs. Cerrito were beaten last time (LDD); Colón's latest result was a win (WWL). Price check: 1.33 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Colón shade it on the road, 55% to 24%. Table: Cerrito 9th (34 pts), Colón 3rd (42 pts).
Recent form
Cerrito bring a D D L W D W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Fenix, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Colón read W L W W D L (three wins). Most recent: v Atenas, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Aug 2026): Colón 1–0 Cerrito. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Cerrito 0.9, Colón 1.5 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 44%, BTTS 54%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 69, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.46. Likeliest score: Cerrito 0–2 Colón. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Cerrito
last 6- D@ Fenix1–131 Oct
- Dv Rentistas2–225 Oct
- L@ Miramar0–118 Oct
- Wv Tacuarembo2–110 Oct
- Dv Wanderers2–27 Oct
- W@ Plaza Colonia3–14 Oct
Colón
last 6- Wv Atenas1–01 Nov
- L@ Paysandu2–327 Oct
- Wv Sportivo Huracan3–017 Oct
- W@ Uruguay Montevideo3–110 Oct
- Dv Oriental0–04 Oct
- L@ CA River Plate0–326 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 8 Aug 2026Colón1–0Cerrito
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oriental | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Plaza Colonia | 6 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Fenix | 6 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Sportivo Huracan | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Colón | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Rentistas | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Cerrito | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  La Luz | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Miramar | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Paysandu | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Atenas | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 |  CA River Plate | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Tacuarembo | 6 | -4 | 3 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Cerrito vs Colón?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 69, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Cerrito or Colón?
The model gives Cerrito 24%, the draw 20% and Colón 55%.
What is the likeliest score in Cerrito vs Colón?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Cerrito 0–2 Colón.
How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs Colón?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Cerrito vs Colón kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 20:30 WAT – Segunda División.