421 matches analysed today 62 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:42 WATTelegram18+
Uruguay Segunda División Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time
1–2
Half-time 1–0
60%Paysandu21%Draw20%Uruguay Montevideo

Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction: Paysandu to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Paysandu to win

Projected goals favour Paysandu: 1.6 against 0.8. Paysandu were beaten last time (LDW). Price check: 1.62 is close to fair.

60Mind Score Odds1.62 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Paysandu1.6260% X · Draw3.4021% 2 · Uruguay Montevideo4.7520%

Double chance

1X1.1780% 121.2579% X21.9140%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4370% · fair Under 1.53.3130% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1044% Under 2.51.7056%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.4023% · fair Under 3.51.2977% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.9551% NG · No1.7149%

Half-time result

HT 12.4041% HT X2.1043% HT 24.7516%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Paysandu edge it at home, 60% to 20%, with the draw on 21%. Table: Paysandu 6th (35 pts), Uruguay Montevideo 14th (25 pts).

Recent form

Paysandu bring a D W W W L D line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Oriental, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.2 a game.

Uruguay Montevideo – sample of six: D W D L L L, with one win. Most recent: v Sportivo Huracan, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

Head-to-head

Latest (Aug 2026): Uruguay Montevideo 1–0 Paysandu. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Paysandu 1.6, Uruguay Montevideo 0.8 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 44%, BTTS 51%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Paysandu to win – Mind Score 60, bookmaker price around 1.62 against a fair 1.67. Likeliest score: Paysandu 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Paysandu

last 6
  • D@ Oriental1–11 Nov
  • Wv Colón3–227 Oct
  • W@ Fenix1–017 Oct
  • Wv Rentistas2–110 Oct
  • L@ Miramar0–13 Oct
  • Dv Tacuarembo2–228 Sep
1.5scored / game1.2conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Uruguay Montevideo

last 6
  • Dv Sportivo Huracan0–031 Oct
  • W@ CA River Plate2–124 Oct
  • D@ Oriental1–119 Oct
  • Lv Colón1–310 Oct
  • L@ Fenix0–24 Oct
  • Lv Rentistas1–326 Sep
0.8scored / game1.7conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 8 Aug 2026Uruguay Montevideo1–0Paysandu

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

The Mind pick is Paysandu to win with a Mind Score of 60, priced around 1.62 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Paysandu or Uruguay Montevideo?

The model gives Paysandu 60%, the draw 21% and Uruguay Montevideo 20%.

What is the likeliest score in Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Paysandu 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 51%.

When does Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 23:30 WAT – Segunda División.