Babrungas vs Minija prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.7 projected goals. Probability 74%. Babrungas's form is mixed (DWDW, 2 W 2 D 0 L); Minija's form is mixed (DWDWL, 2 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 40%, draw 22%, away 38%. Table: Babrungas 2nd (74 pts), Minija 1st (74 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Babrungas read W D W W W W (five wins). Most recent: v FA Šiauliai II, 4–1 (won). Output is high: 2.5 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Minija – sample of six: W D W L L L, with two wins. Most recent: v Garliava, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.0 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Oct 2026): Minija 2–3 Babrungas. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Babrungas 1.4, Minija 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 62%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Babrungas 2–1 Minija. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Babrungas
last 6- Wv FA Šiauliai II4–17 Nov
- D@ Be1 NFA1–130 Oct
- Wv Hegelmann II4–025 Oct
- W@ Minija3–217 Oct
- Wv Jonava2–010 Oct
- W@ Žalgiris II1–020 Sep
Minija
last 6- Wv Garliava2–07 Nov
- D@ Tauras3–34 Nov
- Wv Atmosfera3–131 Oct
- L@ BFA1–224 Oct
- Lv Babrungas2–317 Oct
- Lv Kauno Žalgiris0–311 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 Oct 2026Minija2–3Babrungas
1 Lyga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Babrungas vs Minija?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 74, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Babrungas or Minija?
The model gives Babrungas 40%, the draw 22% and Minija 38%.
What is the likeliest score in Babrungas vs Minija?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Babrungas 2–1 Minija.
How many goals are expected in Babrungas vs Minija?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 62%.
When does Babrungas vs Minija kick off?
Wednesday 11 November 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Gargzdu arena – 1 Lyga.