AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous prediction: Under 2.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.0 goals in total. Probability 66%. The 1.44 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: AS Gabes 40%, draw 24%, Sporting Ben Arous 36%. Table: AS Gabes 26th (5 pts), Sporting Ben Arous 16th (9 pts).
Recent form
The last six for AS Gabes read D L L L D L (zero wins). Most recent: v AS Soliman, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
Sporting Ben Arous – sample of six: D W D D W L, with two wins. Most recent: at Sfax Railways, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: AS Gabes 1.0, Sporting Ben Arous 1.0 – 2.0 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 66%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.52. Likeliest score: AS Gabes 1–0 Sporting Ben Arous. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
AS Gabes
last 6- Dv AS Soliman1–131 Oct
- L@ Béni-Khalled0–126 Oct
- L@ M'saken1–218 Oct
- Lv CS Chebba1–210 Oct
- D@ Sfax Railways0–03 Oct
- Lv Mégrine1–226 Sep
Sporting Ben Arous
last 6- D@ Sfax Railways0–031 Oct
- Wv Mégrine1–026 Oct
- D@ BS Bouhajla0–018 Oct
- Dv US Tataouine2–211 Oct
- W@ AS Agareb3–03 Oct
- Lv EM Mahdia1–226 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Ligue 2 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Kasserine | 7 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  EM Mahdia | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  CS Chebba | 8 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  AS Soliman | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Ksour Essef | 6 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Mégrine | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  M'saken | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bouchamma | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Korba | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jendouba Sport | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Stade Soussien | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sfax Railways | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 |  JS Kairouanaise | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |  US Tataouine | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Kalaâ Sport | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 16 |  Sporting Ben Arous | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 17 |  Ariana | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 |  Stade Gabesien | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 19 |  BS Bouhajla | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 20 |  EGS Gafsa | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  AS Agareb | 8 | -7 | 7 |
| 22 |  Redeyef | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Kerkennah | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 24 |  Béni-Khalled | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 25 |  Olympique du Kef | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 26 |  AS Gabes | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 27 |  CO Medenine | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 28 |  Moknine | 7 | -9 | 2 |
More Ligue 2 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, AS Gabes or Sporting Ben Arous?
The model gives AS Gabes 40%, the draw 24% and Sporting Ben Arous 36%.
What is the likeliest score in AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is AS Gabes 1–0 Sporting Ben Arous.
How many goals are expected in AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 34% and both teams to score 52%.
When does AS Gabes vs Sporting Ben Arous kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 14:30 WAT, at Gabes Municipal Stadium – Ligue 2.