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Tunisia Ligue 2 Sun 15 Nov 2026 Upcoming
Sunday · WAT

Ariana

LWDLL
35%CO Medenine29%Draw36%Ariana

CO Medenine vs Ariana prediction: Under 2.5 goals

The Mind pick Under 2.5 goals

Only 1.9 goals projected – a low-event game. Mind Score 66. At 1.47 the market and the model roughly agree.

66Mind Score Odds1.47 Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · CO Medenine2.4235% X · Draw2.9229% 2 · Ariana2.7336%

Double chance

1X1.3364% 121.2871% X21.4265%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4360% Under 1.52.4640%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.4434% Under 2.51.4766%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.8516% Under 3.51.1184%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.0152% NG · No1.6848%

Half-time result

HT 13.2425% HT X1.8651% HT 23.6224%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 35%, draw 29%, away 36%. Table: CO Medenine 27th (5 pts), Ariana 17th (8 pts).

Recent form

CO Medenine – sample of six: D W L L L L, with one win. Most recent: at Korba, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.

Ariana bring a L L D W L D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at EGS Gafsa, 0–1 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: CO Medenine 1.0, Ariana 1.0 – 1.9 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 66%.

The pick

Pick: Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.47 against a fair 1.51. Likeliest score: CO Medenine 0–1 Ariana. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

CO Medenine

last 6
  • D@ Korba0–01 Nov
  • Wv Olympique du Kef2–127 Oct
  • L@ EGS Gafsa0–319 Oct
  • Lv AS Kasserine0–311 Oct
  • L@ Ksour Essef0–14 Oct
  • Lv Kalaâ Sport1–227 Sep
0.5scored / game1.7conceded33%GG67%over 2.5

Ariana

last 6
  • L@ EGS Gafsa0–11 Nov
  • Lv AS Kasserine1–227 Oct
  • D@ Ksour Essef0–019 Oct
  • Wv Kalaâ Sport2–011 Oct
  • L@ Jendouba Sport0–14 Oct
  • Dv Stade Gabesien1–127 Sep
0.7scored / game0.8conceded33%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Ligue 2 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia8521+617
3CS Chebba8512+216
4AS Soliman8431+615
5Ksour Essef6420+614
6Mégrine8422+514
7M'saken8422+414
8Bouchamma7412-213
9Korba7331+412
10Jendouba Sport7331+212
11Stade Soussien8323+111
12Sfax Railways8251+111
13JS Kairouanaise7322+111
14US Tataouine8323-211
15Kalaâ Sport7313+110
16Sporting Ben Arous8233+19
17Ariana722308
18Stade Gabesien715108
19BS Bouhajla8224-68
20EGS Gafsa7214-27
21AS Agareb8143-77
22Redeyef6204+26
23Kerkennah8134-36
24Béni-Khalled8134-46
25Olympique du Kef7124-35
26AS Gabes8125-45
27CO Medenine7124-75
28Moknine7025-92

More Ligue 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for CO Medenine vs Ariana?

The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.47 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, CO Medenine or Ariana?

The model gives CO Medenine 35%, the draw 29% and Ariana 36%.

What is the likeliest score in CO Medenine vs Ariana?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is CO Medenine 0–1 Ariana.

How many goals are expected in CO Medenine vs Ariana?

Around 1.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 34% and both teams to score 52%.

When does CO Medenine vs Ariana kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Ligue 2.