415 matches analysed today 16 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 11:05 WATTelegram18+
Friendlies Wed 11 Nov 2026 Full time
5–1
Half-time 2–0
77%Sint Maarten14%Draw9%Anguilla

Sint Maarten vs Anguilla prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.7 goals in total. Probability 59%. Price check: 2.14 on offer against a fair 1.70 – a positive edge.

59Mind Score Odds2.14 Score2–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Sint Maarten1.1677% X · Draw10.0014% 2 · Anguilla17.509%

Double chance

1X1.0191% 121.0886% X26.2023%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.0581% Under 1.57.3319%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.2961% Under 2.53.4739%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.8141% Under 3.52.1459%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7554% NG · No1.9746%

Half-time result

HT 11.4853% HT X3.0838% HT 29.009%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Sint Maarten strong home favourites (77%).

Recent form

The last five for Sint Maarten read L L L L D (zero wins). Most recent: at St. Vincent Grenadines, 0–4 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.4 goals a game.

The last five for Anguilla read L L L L W (one win). Most recent: at Aruba, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Sint Maarten 2.2, Anguilla 0.5 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 61%, BTTS 54%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 59, bookmaker price around 2.14 against a fair 1.70. Likeliest score: Sint Maarten 2–0 Anguilla. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Sint Maarten

last 5
  • L@ St. Vincent Grenadines0–46 Oct
  • Lv St. Vincent Grenadines2–43 Oct
  • L@ French Guyana0–129 Sep
  • Lv Belize0–127 Sep
  • D@ Dominica0–031 Mar
0.4scored / game2.0conceded20%GG40%over 2.5

Anguilla

last 5
  • L@ Aruba2–35 Oct
  • Lv Antigua and Barbuda0–32 Oct
  • Lv Aruba0–230 Sep
  • L@ Antigua and Barbuda0–527 Sep
  • W@ Bahamas3–126 Mar
1.0scored / game2.8conceded40%GG80%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More Friendlies predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 59, priced around 2.14 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Sint Maarten or Anguilla?

The model gives Sint Maarten 77%, the draw 14% and Anguilla 9%.

What is the likeliest score in Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sint Maarten 2–0 Anguilla.

How many goals are expected in Sint Maarten vs Anguilla?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 61% and both teams to score 54%.

When does Sint Maarten vs Anguilla kick off?

Wednesday 11 November 2026, 01:30 WAT – Friendlies.