Ibri vs Al-Shabab prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.7 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 65%. At 1.52 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Al-Shabab rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 71% in the model.
Recent form
The last six for Ibri read W L L D D D (one win). Most recent: at Al Suwaiq, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.3 a game.
Al-Shabab bring a W W W W L W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: v Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut, 4–0 (won). Output is high: 2.7 goals a game across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Feb 2026): Ibri 0–2 Al-Shabab. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Ibri 0.6, Al-Shabab 2.1 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 54%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.52 against a fair 1.53. Likeliest score: Ibri 0–2 Al-Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ibri
last 6- W@ Al Suwaiq2–131 Oct
- L@ Al Musannah0–223 Oct
- Lv Dhofar2–318 Oct
- D@ Fanja0–09 Oct
- D@ Al Musannah2–21 Oct
- Dv Al-Nahda0–025 Sep
Al-Shabab
last 6- Wv Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut4–03 Nov
- Wv NEOM3–127 Oct
- Wv Smail2–123 Oct
- W@ Sohar5–019 Oct
- L@ Al-Duhail SC0–314 Oct
- Wv Saham2–12 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Feb 2026Ibri0–2Al-Shabab
More FA Cup predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Ibri vs Al-Shabab?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.52 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Ibri or Al-Shabab?
The model gives Ibri 9%, the draw 20% and Al-Shabab 71%.
What is the likeliest score in Ibri vs Al-Shabab?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ibri 0–2 Al-Shabab.
How many goals are expected in Ibri vs Al-Shabab?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Ibri vs Al-Shabab kick off?
Friday 13 November 2026, 13:45 WAT – FA Cup.

