CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula prediction: CSKA Moscow to win
The model lands a CSKA Moscow win in 65% of simulations. CSKA Moscow's last 5 reads WLDWW – 3 wins; 3 without a win for Arsenal Tula (LLL). Price check: 1.33 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites at 65% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.
Recent form
The last six for CSKA Moscow read W L D W W L (three wins). Most recent: v Arsenal Tula, 4–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Arsenal Tula bring a L L L W L W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at CSKA Moscow, 1–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: CSKA Moscow 1 wins, Arsenal Tula 0, draws 1; 3.0 goals per game. Latest (Oct 2026): CSKA Moscow 3–1 Arsenal Tula. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: CSKA Moscow 2.3, Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 3.4 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 62%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was CSKA Moscow to win – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
CSKA Moscow
last 6- Wv Arsenal Tula4–114 Nov
- L@ FC Krasnodar2–47 Nov
- D@ FC Orenburg0–01 Nov
- Wv Lokomotiv3–129 Oct
- Wv Spartak Moscow2–025 Oct
- L@ Dynamo1–318 Oct
Arsenal Tula
last 6- L@ CSKA Moscow1–414 Nov
- Lv Chelyabinsk1–27 Nov
- L@ Nizhny Novgorod0–430 Oct
- Wv KAMAZ4–324 Oct
- L@ FC UFA0–217 Oct
- Wv Spartak Kostroma3–29 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 4 Oct 2026CSKA Moscow3–1Arsenal Tula
- 4 Jul 2026CSKA Moscow1–1Arsenal Tula
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First Vienna2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
The Mind pick is CSKA Moscow to win with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, CSKA Moscow or Arsenal Tula?
The model gives CSKA Moscow 65%, the draw 19% and Arsenal Tula 16%.
What is the likeliest score in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Around 3.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 62% and both teams to score 55%.
When does CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – Friendlies Clubs.