421 matches analysed today 66 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:19 WATTelegram18+
Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 4 Thu 16 Apr 2026 · Campo José Luis Orbegozo Full time
3–1
Half-time 2–1

Zamudio

LLWLW
65%Real Sociedad III19%Draw16%Zamudio

Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio prediction: Real Sociedad III or draw

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Real Sociedad III or draw

Real Sociedad III avoid defeat in 84% of the model's runs. Mind Score 84.

84Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Real Sociedad III1.8065% X · Draw3.4019% 2 · Zamudio3.8016%

Double chance

1X1.1984% · fair 121.2481% · fair X22.8535% · fair

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3674% · fair Under 1.53.8126% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9549% Under 2.51.8551%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.7127% · fair Under 3.51.3773% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1347% · fair NG · No1.8953% · fair

Half-time result

HT 12.4045% HT X2.2041% HT 24.3314%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Real Sociedad III strong home favourites (65%).

Recent form

The last six for Real Sociedad III read W D W L W D (three wins). Most recent: at Santurtzi, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.5 a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Zamudio bring a W L W L L L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Pasaia KE, 7–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Real Sociedad III 1.9, Zamudio 0.8 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 47%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Real Sociedad III or draw – Mind Score 84. Likeliest score: Real Sociedad III 1–0 Zamudio. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Real Sociedad III

last 6
  • W@ Santurtzi3–012 Apr
  • D@ Zarautz0–02 Apr
  • Wv Pasaia KE2–029 Mar
  • L@ Lagun Onak2–322 Mar
  • Wv Deusto1–015 Mar
  • Dv San Ignacio0–01 Mar
1.3scored / game0.5conceded17%GG33%over 2.5

Zamudio

last 6
  • Wv Pasaia KE7–012 Apr
  • L@ Lagun Onak0–51 Apr
  • Wv Deusto2–029 Mar
  • L@ Portugalete0–219 Mar
  • L@ Derio1–28 Mar
  • Lv Touring2–31 Mar
2.0scored / game2.0conceded33%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leioa10640+1622
2Aurrerá Vitoria10712+322
3Deportivo Alavés III11632+1421
4Real Sociedad III10532+718
5Touring11533+418
6Derio11533+218
7San Ignacio11524+617
8Durango10451+517
9Eibar III11524+417
10Aretxabaleta11524-217
11Sodupe11524-717
12Beasain10424+614
13Lagun Onak10325-311
14R. Union B10244-610
15Pasaia KE11317-1110
16Santurtzi11308-79
17Erandio11209-106
18Amurrio Club10019-211

More Tercera División RFEF Group 4 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?

The Mind pick is Real Sociedad III or draw with a Mind Score of 84.

Who is favourite, Real Sociedad III or Zamudio?

The model gives Real Sociedad III 65%, the draw 19% and Zamudio 16%.

What is the likeliest score in Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Real Sociedad III 1–0 Zamudio.

How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio?

Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 49% and both teams to score 47%.

When does Real Sociedad III vs Zamudio kick off?

Thursday 16 April 2026, 19:00 WAT, at Campo José Luis Orbegozo – Tercera División RFEF Group 4.