New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC prediction: New York City FC or draw
New York City FC avoid defeat in 86% of the model's runs. New York City FC won most recently (WDWD); Atlanta United FC arrive off a defeat (LWLL). The bookmaker's 1.22 beats the model's fair price of 1.17.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
New York City FC are clear favourites at 66% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: New York City FC 11th (42 pts), Atlanta United FC 13th (33 pts).
Recent form
New York City FC – sample of six: D D L L D L, with zero wins. Most recent: at Orlando City SC, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Atlanta United FC read L L W L D W (two wins). Most recent: v Chicago Fire, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: New York City FC 2.1, Atlanta United FC 0.8 – 2.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was New York City FC or draw – Mind Score 86, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.17. Likeliest score: New York City FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
New York City FC
last 6- D@ Orlando City SC2–225 Oct
- Dv Los Angeles FC1–118 Oct
- L@ Inter Miami0–215 Oct
- L@ Chicago Fire1–210 Oct
- D@ Atlanta United FC2–227 Sep
- Lv New York Red Bulls0–119 Sep
Atlanta United FC
last 6- Lv Chicago Fire2–325 Oct
- Lv Inter Miami1–318 Oct
- W@ CF Montreal3–015 Oct
- Lv FC Cincinnati1–311 Oct
- Dv New York City FC2–227 Sep
- W@ Portland Timbers1–020 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 27 Sep 2026Atlanta United FC2–2New York City FC
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |  New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
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Sporting Kansas City1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?
The Mind pick is New York City FC or draw with a Mind Score of 86, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, New York City FC or Atlanta United FC?
The model gives New York City FC 66%, the draw 20% and Atlanta United FC 14%.
What is the likeliest score in New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is New York City FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC.
How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 59%.
When does New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 WAT, at Citi Field – Major League Soccer.