Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Boca Juniors (2.0) plus Defensa Y Justicia (0.6) puts 2.7 goals on the board. Mind Score 75. Boca Juniors carry a 3-match unbeaten sequence (WWW); Defensa Y Justicia were beaten last time (LDW). The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Boca Juniors are clear favourites at 69% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Boca Juniors 1st (63 pts), Defensa Y Justicia 14th (47 pts).
Recent form
Boca Juniors – sample of six: W W W W L D, with four wins. Most recent: v River Plate, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.8 a game.
The last six for Defensa Y Justicia read D W L W W D (three wins). Most recent: v Independiente, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Defensa Y Justicia 0–4 Boca Juniors. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Boca Juniors 2.0, Defensa Y Justicia 0.6 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 50%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Boca Juniors 2–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Boca Juniors
last 6- Wv River Plate1–01 Nov
- W@ Independiente1–025 Oct
- W@ Vasco DA Gama3–121 Oct
- Wv Talleres Cordoba2–117 Oct
- Lv Vasco DA Gama0–114 Oct
- D@ Instituto Cordoba2–29 Oct
Defensa Y Justicia
last 6- Dv Independiente1–131 Oct
- W@ Talleres Cordoba2–124 Oct
- Lv Instituto Cordoba0–116 Oct
- W@ Union Santa Fe2–010 Oct
- Wv San Lorenzo3–03 Oct
- D@ Central Cordoba de Santiago2–218 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 24 Apr 2026Defensa Y Justicia0–4Boca Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
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Independ. Rivadavia1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Boca Juniors or Defensa Y Justicia?
The model gives Boca Juniors 69%, the draw 23% and Defensa Y Justicia 8%.
What is the likeliest score in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Boca Juniors 2–0 Defensa Y Justicia.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 50%.
When does Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 22:00 WAT, at Estadio Alberto J. Armando – Liga Profesional Argentina.