Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.4 goals in total. The line lands in 77% of the model's runs. Independ. Rivadavia's form is mixed (DDWL, 1 W 2 D 1 L). Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 38%, draw 23%, away 38%. Table: Gimnasia M. 17th (41 pts), Independ. Rivadavia 4th (57 pts).
Recent form
Gimnasia M. bring a D L L W L D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Lanus, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last six for Independ. Rivadavia read W L D L D W (two wins). Most recent: v Banfield, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.7 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Gimnasia M. 1.2, Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 52%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.30. Likeliest score: Gimnasia M. 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Gimnasia M.
last 6- D@ Lanus1–12 Nov
- Lv Platense1–223 Oct
- L@ Velez Sarsfield0–118 Oct
- Wv Newells Old Boys1–012 Oct
- L@ Estudiantes L.P.0–35 Oct
- Dv Deportivo Riestra0–019 Sep
Independ. Rivadavia
last 6- Wv Banfield3–13 Nov
- L@ Argentinos JRS0–127 Oct
- Dv Tigre2–217 Oct
- L@ Rosario Central0–511 Oct
- Dv Gimnasia L.P.1–13 Oct
- W@ Barracas Central1–021 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
League page →
Aldosivi0
River Plate2
Argentinos JRS0
Huracan2
Banfield2
Atletico Tucuman2
Barracas Central2
Racing Club0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Gimnasia M. or Independ. Rivadavia?
The model gives Gimnasia M. 38%, the draw 23% and Independ. Rivadavia 38%.
What is the likeliest score in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Gimnasia M. 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 22:00 WAT, at Victor Legrotaglie – Liga Profesional Argentina.