Hungary vs Northern Ireland prediction: Hungary or draw
Hungary avoid defeat in 74% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.24 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Hungary edge it at home, 46% to 26%, with the draw on 28%. Table: Hungary 2nd (10 pts), Northern Ireland 1st (11 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Hungary read W W W D L W (four wins). Most recent: at Georgia, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Northern Ireland read W D W D W L (three wins). Most recent: v Ukraine, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.5 a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Hungary 0.9, Northern Ireland 0.8 – 1.7 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 68%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Hungary or draw – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.24 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Hungary 1–0 Northern Ireland. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Hungary
last 6- W@ Georgia2–014 Nov
- W@ Ukraine2–15 Oct
- Wv Georgia1–02 Oct
- D@ Northern Ireland0–028 Sep
- Lv Ukraine0–125 Sep
- Wv Kazakhstan3–19 Jun
Northern Ireland
last 6- Wv Ukraine1–014 Nov
- Dv Georgia0–05 Oct
- W@ Ukraine3–02 Oct
- Dv Hungary0–028 Sep
- W@ Georgia1–025 Sep
- L@ France1–38 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 28 Sep 2026Northern Ireland0–0Hungary
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 5 | -4 | 2 |
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RomaniaFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
The Mind pick is Hungary or draw with a Mind Score of 74, priced around 1.24 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Hungary or Northern Ireland?
The model gives Hungary 46%, the draw 28% and Northern Ireland 26%.
What is the likeliest score in Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Hungary 1–0 Northern Ireland.
How many goals are expected in Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
Around 1.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 32% and both teams to score 46%.
When does Hungary vs Northern Ireland kick off?
Tuesday 17 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Puskás Aréna – UEFA Nations League.