Montenegro vs Latvia prediction: Montenegro to win
The model lands a Montenegro win in 68% of simulations. Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Montenegro are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Montenegro 1st (13 pts), Latvia 4th (1 pts).
Recent form
Montenegro bring a D W W W D W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v Armenia, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.0 a game.
The last six for Latvia read L L D L L W (one win). Most recent: at Cyprus, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Oct 2026): Latvia 1–2 Montenegro. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Montenegro 2.0, Latvia 0.7 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 49%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Montenegro to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Montenegro 1–0 Latvia. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Montenegro
last 6- Dv Armenia0–05 Oct
- W@ Latvia2–12 Oct
- W@ Armenia3–228 Sep
- Wv Cyprus2–125 Sep
- D@ Slovakia2–25 Jun
- W@ Bulgaria1–01 Jun
Latvia
last 6- L@ Cyprus1–25 Oct
- Lv Montenegro1–22 Oct
- Dv Cyprus0–028 Sep
- L@ Armenia0–225 Sep
- Lv Faroe Islands0–19 Jun
- Wv Gibraltar1–031 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 2 Oct 2026Latvia1–2Montenegro
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 5 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 5 | -5 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Czechia0
Spain2
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Finland0
San Marino0
Belarus2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Montenegro vs Latvia?
The Mind pick is Montenegro to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Montenegro or Latvia?
The model gives Montenegro 68%, the draw 20% and Latvia 11%.
What is the likeliest score in Montenegro vs Latvia?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Montenegro 1–0 Latvia.
How many goals are expected in Montenegro vs Latvia?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 49%.
When does Montenegro vs Latvia kick off?
Thursday 12 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Gradski Stadion – UEFA Nations League.