Switzerland vs Scotland prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.5 goals in total. Probability 76%. The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Switzerland edge it at home, 59% to 18%, with the draw on 23%. Table: Switzerland 1st (13 pts), Scotland 3rd (7 pts).
Recent form
Switzerland – sample of six: D W W W W D, with four wins. Most recent: at Slovenia, 0–0 (drawn). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Scotland read W L W L D L (two wins). Most recent: v FYR Macedonia, 2–1 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Scotland 0–3 Switzerland. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Switzerland 1.7, Scotland 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 51%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Switzerland 1–0 Scotland. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Switzerland
last 6- D@ Slovenia0–013 Nov
- Wv FYR Macedonia3–06 Oct
- Wv Slovenia2–13 Oct
- W@ Scotland3–029 Sep
- W@ FYR Macedonia3–026 Sep
- D@ Argentina1–112 Jul
Scotland
last 6- Wv FYR Macedonia2–113 Nov
- Lv Slovenia1–26 Oct
- W@ FYR Macedonia2–03 Oct
- Lv Switzerland0–329 Sep
- D@ Slovenia0–026 Sep
- Lv Brazil0–324 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 29 Sep 2026Scotland0–3Switzerland
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 5 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 5 | -11 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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MaltaFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Switzerland vs Scotland?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Switzerland or Scotland?
The model gives Switzerland 59%, the draw 23% and Scotland 18%.
What is the likeliest score in Switzerland vs Scotland?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Switzerland 1–0 Scotland.
How many goals are expected in Switzerland vs Scotland?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Switzerland vs Scotland kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Kybunpark – UEFA Nations League.