FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.3 goals in total. Probability 79%. Price check: 1.23 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Slovenia rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 63% in the model. Table: FYR Macedonia 4th (0 pts), Slovenia 2nd (8 pts).
Recent form
The last six for FYR Macedonia read L L L L L L (zero wins). Most recent: at Scotland, 1–2 (lost). Just 0.2 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Slovenia bring a D W L W D L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Switzerland, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Slovenia 2–0 FYR Macedonia. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: FYR Macedonia 0.6, Slovenia 1.7 – 2.3 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 42%, BTTS 50%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 79, bookmaker price around 1.23 against a fair 1.27. Likeliest score: FYR Macedonia 0–1 Slovenia. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
FYR Macedonia
last 6- L@ Scotland1–213 Nov
- L@ Switzerland0–36 Oct
- Lv Scotland0–23 Oct
- L@ Slovenia0–229 Sep
- Lv Switzerland0–326 Sep
- L@ Türkiye0–41 Jun
Slovenia
last 6- Dv Switzerland0–013 Nov
- W@ Scotland2–16 Oct
- L@ Switzerland1–23 Oct
- Wv FYR Macedonia2–029 Sep
- Dv Scotland0–026 Sep
- L@ Croatia1–27 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 29 Sep 2026Slovenia2–0FYR Macedonia
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 5 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 5 | -11 | 0 |
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MaltaFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 79, priced around 1.23 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, FYR Macedonia or Slovenia?
The model gives FYR Macedonia 14%, the draw 23% and Slovenia 63%.
What is the likeliest score in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is FYR Macedonia 0–1 Slovenia.
How many goals are expected in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
Around 2.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 42% and both teams to score 50%.
When does FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Nacional Arena Todor Proeski – UEFA Nations League.