Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.8 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Probability 68%. Juan Pablo II College arrive off a defeat (LLWL); Deportivo Garcilaso's form is mixed (DWLW, 2 W 1 D 1 L). The 1.33 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Juan Pablo II College edge it at home, 43% to 32%, with the draw on 25%. Table: Juan Pablo II College 9th (25 pts), Deportivo Garcilaso 4th (29 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Juan Pablo II College read L L W L W D (two wins). Most recent: at FBC Melgar, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
Deportivo Garcilaso – sample of six: D W L W L L, with two wins. Most recent: v Comerciantes Unidos, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Deportivo Garcilaso 4–1 Juan Pablo II College. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Juan Pablo II College 1.6, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 62%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.46. Likeliest score: Juan Pablo II College 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Juan Pablo II College
last 6- L@ FBC Melgar1–28 Nov
- L@ Alianza Atletico0–131 Oct
- Wv Sport Huancayo2–027 Oct
- L@ Universitario0–325 Oct
- Wv Sport Boys2–017 Oct
- D@ Comerciantes Unidos1–110 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
last 6- Dv Comerciantes Unidos0–09 Nov
- W@ UTC Cajamarca3–22 Nov
- L@ Alianza Atletico2–328 Oct
- Wv Club Deportivo Los Chankas4–126 Oct
- L@ FBC Melgar2–418 Oct
- Lv Sport Huancayo0–110 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 30 May 2026Deportivo Garcilaso4–1Juan Pablo II College
Primera División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +15 | 51 |
| 6 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 42 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 29 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 14 |
More Primera División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Juan Pablo II College or Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model gives Juan Pablo II College 43%, the draw 25% and Deportivo Garcilaso 32%.
What is the likeliest score in Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Juan Pablo II College 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso.
How many goals are expected in Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 62%.
When does Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 21:15 WAT, at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II – Primera División.