NAC Breda vs Emmen prediction: Over 2.5 goals
NAC Breda (2.2) plus Emmen (1.1) puts 3.4 goals on the board. Mind Score 65. Emmen arrive off a defeat (LLW). Price check: 1.41 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes NAC Breda strong home favourites (62%). Table: NAC Breda 13th (0 pts), Emmen 6th (0 pts).
Recent form
NAC Breda – sample of six: D W W D W W, with four wins. Most recent: at Dordrecht, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Emmen – sample of six: L L W W W W, with four wins. Most recent: v MVV, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.3 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: NAC Breda 2.2, Emmen 1.1 – 3.4 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 65%, both to score at 61%.
The pick
Pick: Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.41 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: NAC Breda 2–1 Emmen. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
NAC Breda
last 6- D@ Dordrecht0–06 Nov
- W@ Jong PSV U212–02 Nov
- W@ JOS Watergraafsmeer3–128 Oct
- Dv Heracles1–123 Oct
- W@ Helmond Sport2–016 Oct
- Wv MVV1–09 Oct
Emmen
last 6- Lv MVV0–28 Nov
- Lv Den Bosch0–530 Oct
- W@ Groningen2–029 Oct
- W@ Vitesse2–023 Oct
- Wv Almere City FC2–117 Oct
- W@ Dordrecht3–09 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Eerste Divisie table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for NAC Breda vs Emmen?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.41 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, NAC Breda or Emmen?
The model gives NAC Breda 62%, the draw 19% and Emmen 19%.
What is the likeliest score in NAC Breda vs Emmen?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is NAC Breda 2–1 Emmen.
How many goals are expected in NAC Breda vs Emmen?
Around 3.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 65% and both teams to score 61%.
When does NAC Breda vs Emmen kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:30 WAT, at Rat Verlegh Stadion – Eerste Divisie.