Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport prediction: Almere City FC to win
Projected goals favour Almere City FC: 2.6 against 1.1. Almere City FC carry a 4-match unbeaten sequence (WWWW); Helmond Sport arrive off a defeat (LLWL). The 1.28 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Almere City FC are clear favourites at 67% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Almere City FC 9th (0 pts), Helmond Sport 7th (0 pts).
Recent form
Almere City FC – sample of six: W W W L L W, with four wins. Most recent: at Jong AZ, 3–1 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample.
Helmond Sport – sample of six: L W L L L L, with one win. Most recent: v FC Volendam, 2–3 (lost). The attack is running at 2.2 per game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Feb 2026): Almere City FC 0–1 Helmond Sport. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Almere City FC 2.6, Helmond Sport 1.1 – 3.6 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 71%, BTTS 63%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Almere City FC to win – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Almere City FC
last 6- W@ Jong AZ3–16 Nov
- W@ Waalwijk2–130 Oct
- W@ Telstar2–027 Oct
- Lv Roda2–323 Oct
- L@ Emmen1–217 Oct
- Wv FC Eindhoven3–09 Oct
Helmond Sport
last 6- Lv FC Volendam2–36 Nov
- Wv FC Eindhoven3–230 Oct
- Lv Willem II3–427 Oct
- L@ Jong AZ4–523 Oct
- Lv NAC Breda0–216 Oct
- L@ FC OSS1–39 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 13 Feb 2026Almere City FC0–1Helmond Sport
Eerste Divisie table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 15 | +30 | 38 |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 15 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 |  VVV Venlo | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 15 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roda | 15 | +3 | 28 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 15 | -2 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 15 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Waalwijk | 15 | +7 | 20 |
| 10 |  Den Bosch | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  FC OSS | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 |  De Graafschap | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 17 |  FC Eindhoven | 15 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Helmond Sport | 15 | -11 | 12 |
| 19 |  Dordrecht | 15 | -17 | 12 |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
The Mind pick is Almere City FC to win with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Almere City FC or Helmond Sport?
The model gives Almere City FC 67%, the draw 22% and Helmond Sport 11%.
What is the likeliest score in Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport.
How many goals are expected in Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
Around 3.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 71% and both teams to score 63%.
When does Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 20:00 WAT, at Yanmar Stadion – Eerste Divisie.