Le Havre vs Lorient prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.5 goals projected – a low-event game. Mind Score 76. 3 without a win for Le Havre (LLL); Lorient won most recently (WLD). Price check: 1.28 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Lorient 43%, Le Havre 35%. Table: Le Havre 18th (2 pts), Lorient 10th (15 pts).
Recent form
Le Havre – sample of six: L L L L L D, with zero wins. Most recent: v Paris Saint Germain, 1–5 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 2.7 a game.
Lorient – sample of six: L D W W L D, with two wins. Most recent: v Stade Brestois 29, 0–2 (lost). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Lorient 0–2 Le Havre. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Le Havre 1.1, Lorient 1.3 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Le Havre 0–1 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Le Havre
last 6- Lv Paris Saint Germain1–530 Oct
- L@ Marseille3–425 Oct
- Lv Auxerre1–318 Oct
- L@ Lille0–110 Oct
- L@ Toulouse2–319 Sep
- Dv Angers0–012 Sep
Lorient
last 6- Lv Stade Brestois 290–231 Oct
- D@ Angers0–025 Oct
- Wv Monaco1–018 Oct
- Wv Paris FC1–010 Oct
- L@ Le Mans1–219 Sep
- Dv Toulouse2–212 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 May 2026Lorient0–2Le Havre
Ligue 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More Ligue 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Le Havre or Lorient?
The model gives Le Havre 35%, the draw 22% and Lorient 43%.
What is the likeliest score in Le Havre vs Lorient?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Le Havre 0–1 Lorient.
How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Lorient?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Le Havre vs Lorient kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 17:15 WAT, at Stade Océane – Ligue 1.