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Ligue 1 Sun 8 Nov 2026 · Stade Marie-Marvingt Full time

Le Mans

WLLDL
1–1
Half-time 0–1

Monaco

LWDLW
16%Le Mans20%Draw64%Monaco

Le Mans vs Monaco prediction: Monaco to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Monaco to win

Monaco rate better at both ends – 2.0 expected for, 0.8 against. Le Mans's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L); Monaco's form is mixed (DWLD, 1 W 2 D 1 L). The bookmaker's 1.67 beats the model's fair price of 1.57.

64Mind Score Odds1.67 Score0–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Le Mans5.2516% X · Draw3.8020% 2 · Monaco1.6764%

Double chance

1X2.1536% 121.2580% X21.1784%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2577% Under 1.54.0023%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8053% Under 2.52.0047%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.0031% Under 3.51.4069%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8055% NG · No1.9545%

Half-time result

HT 15.0015% HT X2.3039% HT 22.2545%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Monaco rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 64% in the model. Table: Le Mans 15th (8 pts), Monaco 7th (16 pts).

Recent form

Le Mans – sample of six: L D L L W D, with one win. Most recent: at Estac Troyes, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Monaco – sample of six: W L D W L W, with three wins. Most recent: v FC Nordsjaelland, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.0 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Le Mans 0.8, Monaco 2.0 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 55%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Monaco to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.67 against a fair 1.57. Likeliest score: Le Mans 0–1 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Le Mans

last 6
  • L@ Estac Troyes0–231 Oct
  • D@ Auxerre1–125 Oct
  • Lv Toulouse0–316 Oct
  • L@ Paris Saint Germain1–310 Oct
  • Wv Lorient2–119 Sep
  • Dv Lens2–213 Sep
1.0scored / game2.0conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Monaco

last 6
  • Wv FC Nordsjaelland2–05 Nov
  • L@ Paris FC1–31 Nov
  • Dv Lille1–125 Oct
  • Wv SC Freiburg3–022 Oct
  • L@ Lorient0–118 Oct
  • W@ CSKA Sofia2–115 Oct
1.5scored / game1.0conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Ligue 1 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Le Mans vs Monaco?

The Mind pick is Monaco to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.67 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Le Mans or Monaco?

The model gives Le Mans 16%, the draw 20% and Monaco 64%.

What is the likeliest score in Le Mans vs Monaco?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Le Mans 0–1 Monaco.

How many goals are expected in Le Mans vs Monaco?

Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 55%.

When does Le Mans vs Monaco kick off?

Sunday 8 November 2026, 17:15 WAT, at Stade Marie-Marvingt – Ligue 1.