Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction: Kitakyushu to win
The model lands a Kitakyushu win in 59% of simulations. Kitakyushu have taken 3 wins from 5 (WLLWW); Thespakusatsu Gunma's recent sample is poor: LLLL. The bookmaker's 1.78 beats the model's fair price of 1.69.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Kitakyushu edge it at home, 59% to 17%, with the draw on 23%. Table: Kitakyushu 13th (19 pts), Thespakusatsu Gunma 19th (13 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Kitakyushu read W L L W W L (three wins). Most recent: v Thespakusatsu Gunma, 4–3 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game.
Thespakusatsu Gunma – sample of six: L L L W L D, with one win. Most recent: v Osaka, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Kitakyushu 1.9, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.0 – 2.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Kitakyushu to win – Mind Score 59, bookmaker price around 1.78 against a fair 1.69. Likeliest score: Kitakyushu 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Kitakyushu
last 6- Wv Thespakusatsu Gunma4–314 Nov
- L@ FC Gifu0–17 Nov
- Lv Biwako Shiga0–13 Nov
- W@ Renofa Yamaguchi2–031 Oct
- Wv Parceiro Nagano3–125 Oct
- L@ Fukushima United1–221 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
last 6- Lv Osaka1–27 Nov
- L@ Nara Club0–33 Nov
- L@ Kanazawa0–431 Oct
- Wv Kamatamare Sanuki1–024 Oct
- L@ Matsumoto Yamaga0–221 Oct
- D@ Gainare Tottori1–117 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
J3 League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nara Club | 16 | +12 | 32 |
| 2 |  FC Gifu | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagamihara | 16 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 |  Kagoshima United | 16 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |  Ehime FC | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Kanazawa | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  FC Ryukyu | 16 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 |  Tochigi SC | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kitakyushu | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 |  Fukushima United | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Biwako Shiga | 16 | -9 | 17 |
| 17 |  Gainare Tottori | 16 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 16 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 16 | -18 | 13 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 16 | -26 | 9 |
More J3 League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
The Mind pick is Kitakyushu to win with a Mind Score of 59, priced around 1.78 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Kitakyushu or Thespakusatsu Gunma?
The model gives Kitakyushu 59%, the draw 23% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 17%.
What is the likeliest score in Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Kitakyushu 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma.
How many goals are expected in Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 06:00 WAT, at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu – J3 League.