FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.7 goals in total. The line lands in 70% of the model's runs. FC Gifu's last 5 reads DWWWL – 3 wins; Matsumoto Yamaga's form is mixed (DLLWL, 1 W 1 D 3 L). Price check: 1.35 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 40%, draw 21%, away 39%. Table: FC Gifu 1st (32 pts), Matsumoto Yamaga 15th (18 pts).
Recent form
FC Gifu – sample of six: W W W L W W, with five wins. Most recent: v Kitakyushu, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Matsumoto Yamaga bring a L L W L W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Kanazawa, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): FC Gifu 0–3 Matsumoto Yamaga. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: FC Gifu 1.3, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.35 against a fair 1.44. Likeliest score: FC Gifu 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
FC Gifu
last 6- Wv Kitakyushu1–07 Nov
- W@ FC Ryukyu3–23 Nov
- Wv Osaka1–031 Oct
- L@ Roasso Kumamoto1–225 Oct
- Wv Sagamihara2–121 Oct
- Wv Fukushima United1–017 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
last 6- Lv Kanazawa0–17 Nov
- L@ Kamatamare Sanuki0–13 Nov
- W@ Fukushima United3–131 Oct
- Lv Renofa Yamaguchi0–225 Oct
- Wv Thespakusatsu Gunma2–021 Oct
- L@ Parceiro Nagano1–218 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 6 May 2026FC Gifu0–3Matsumoto Yamaga
J3 League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Gifu | 17 | +14 | 32 |
| 2 |  Nara Club | 16 | +12 | 32 |
| 3 |  Kagoshima United | 16 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 |  Sagamihara | 17 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |  Ehime FC | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Kanazawa | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  FC Ryukyu | 16 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 |  Kitakyushu | 17 | -2 | 22 |
| 13 |  Fukushima United | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Tochigi SC | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 |  Biwako Shiga | 16 | -9 | 17 |
| 17 |  Gainare Tottori | 16 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 16 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 17 | -19 | 13 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 16 | -26 | 9 |
More J3 League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.35 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, FC Gifu or Matsumoto Yamaga?
The model gives FC Gifu 40%, the draw 21% and Matsumoto Yamaga 39%.
What is the likeliest score in FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is FC Gifu 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga.
How many goals are expected in FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 59%.
When does FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 06:00 WAT, at Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field – J3 League.