Arsenal vs Hull City prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.8 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 64. Arsenal are unbeaten across their last 4 (WWWD); Hull City were beaten last time (LDD). Price check: 1.62 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Arsenal are clear favourites at 73% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Arsenal 1st (27 pts), Hull City 13th (11 pts).
Recent form
Arsenal – sample of six: W W D W D W, with four wins. Most recent: at Slavia Praha, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Hull City bring a D D L D L D line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: v Ipswich, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.7 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Arsenal 2.1, Hull City 0.7 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 58%, BTTS 51%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.62 against a fair 1.57. Likeliest score: Arsenal 2–0 Hull City. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Arsenal
last 6- W@ Slavia Praha2–14 Nov
- W@ Liverpool1–01 Nov
- D@ Fleetwood Town1–127 Oct
- Wv Everton2–024 Oct
- D@ Bayern München2–221 Oct
- W@ Nottingham Forest1–018 Oct
Hull City
last 6- Dv Ipswich2–231 Oct
- Dv Brentford1–125 Oct
- L@ Fulham0–117 Oct
- Dv Everton2–211 Oct
- L@ Newcastle1–219 Sep
- D@ Chelsea2–212 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.62 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Arsenal or Hull City?
The model gives Arsenal 73%, the draw 15% and Hull City 12%.
What is the likeliest score in Arsenal vs Hull City?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Arsenal 2–0 Hull City.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Hull City?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 58% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Arsenal vs Hull City kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Emirates Stadium – Premier League.