Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction: Manchester City to win
Projected goals favour Manchester City: 2.1 against 0.7. Manchester City arrive off a defeat (LWLD). The bookmaker's 1.67 beats the model's fair price of 1.47.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Manchester City rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 68% in the model. Table: Nottingham Forest 16th (9 pts), Manchester City 3rd (21 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Nottingham Forest read L D L L L W (one win). Most recent: at Brentford, 0–2 (lost). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Manchester City – sample of six: W L D L W W, with three wins. Most recent: at RB Leipzig, 3–2 (won). The attack is running at 2.3 per game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 0.7, Manchester City 2.1 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Manchester City to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.67 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Nottingham Forest
last 6- L@ Brentford0–231 Oct
- D@ Ipswich1–123 Oct
- Lv Arsenal0–118 Oct
- L@ Crystal Palace1–311 Oct
- Lv Coventry0–119 Sep
- W@ Aston Villa2–112 Sep
Manchester City
last 6- W@ RB Leipzig3–24 Nov
- Lv Brighton0–131 Oct
- Dv Brighton2–228 Oct
- L@ Aston Villa1–224 Oct
- Wv AEK Athens FC5–120 Oct
- Wv Ipswich3–217 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 4 Mar 2026Manchester City2–2Nottingham Forest
Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
The Mind pick is Manchester City to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.67 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Nottingham Forest or Manchester City?
The model gives Nottingham Forest 10%, the draw 22% and Manchester City 68%.
What is the likeliest score in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City.
How many goals are expected in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 18:30 WAT, at City Ground – Premier League.