Brighton vs Brentford prediction: Brighton or draw
Brighton avoid defeat in 81% of the model's runs. Brighton's last 5 reads WWWDL – 3 wins; Brentford were beaten last time (LWLD). At 1.25 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Brighton 59%, Brentford 19%, draw 23%. Table: Brighton 2nd (22 pts), Brentford 8th (14 pts).
Recent form
Brighton bring a W W D L D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Getafe, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Brentford bring a W L D L D W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Nottingham Forest, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Feb 2026): Brentford 0–2 Brighton. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Brighton 2.0, Brentford 1.1 – 3.1 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 59%, both to score at 64%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Brighton or draw – Mind Score 81, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.23. Likeliest score: Brighton 2–1 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Brighton
last 6- W@ Getafe1–05 Nov
- W@ Manchester City1–031 Oct
- D@ Manchester City2–228 Oct
- L@ Liverpool0–225 Oct
- D@ FK Jablonec0–022 Oct
- Wv Crystal Palace5–018 Oct
Brentford
last 6- Wv Nottingham Forest2–031 Oct
- L@ Sunderland2–328 Oct
- D@ Hull City1–125 Oct
- Lv Liverpool1–217 Oct
- D@ Aston Villa2–210 Oct
- Wv Chelsea3–018 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 21 Feb 2026Brentford0–2Brighton
Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Brighton vs Brentford?
The Mind pick is Brighton or draw with a Mind Score of 81, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Brighton or Brentford?
The model gives Brighton 59%, the draw 23% and Brentford 19%.
What is the likeliest score in Brighton vs Brentford?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Brighton 2–1 Brentford.
How many goals are expected in Brighton vs Brentford?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 59% and both teams to score 64%.
When does Brighton vs Brentford kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Amex Stadium – Premier League.