Manchester City vs Fulham prediction: Manchester City to win
The model lands a Manchester City win in 60% of simulations. Manchester City were beaten last time (LWLD); Fulham's form is mixed (DDL, 0 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.44 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Manchester City are clear favourites at 60% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Manchester City 3rd (21 pts), Fulham 15th (10 pts).
Recent form
Manchester City – sample of six: L W L D L W, with two wins. Most recent: at Nottingham Forest, 1–3 (lost). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Fulham – sample of six: D D L W W L, with two wins. Most recent: v Newcastle, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Manchester City 1.8, Fulham 0.9 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 58%, BTTS 61%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Manchester City to win – Mind Score 60, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.65. Likeliest score: Manchester City 1–0 Fulham. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Manchester City
last 6- L@ Nottingham Forest1–37 Nov
- W@ RB Leipzig3–24 Nov
- Lv Brighton0–131 Oct
- Dv Brighton2–228 Oct
- L@ Aston Villa1–224 Oct
- Wv AEK Athens FC5–120 Oct
Fulham
last 6- Dv Newcastle1–17 Nov
- D@ Aston Villa1–131 Oct
- Lv Crystal Palace0–128 Oct
- W@ Coventry1–024 Oct
- Wv Hull City1–017 Oct
- L@ Ipswich1–210 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Manchester City vs Fulham?
The Mind pick is Manchester City to win with a Mind Score of 60, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Manchester City or Fulham?
The model gives Manchester City 60%, the draw 23% and Fulham 16%.
What is the likeliest score in Manchester City vs Fulham?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Manchester City 1–0 Fulham.
How many goals are expected in Manchester City vs Fulham?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 58% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Manchester City vs Fulham kick off?
Saturday 21 November 2026, 13:30 WAT, at Etihad Stadium – Premier League.