AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.8, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. AFC Wimbledon won most recently (WLLL); Blackpool arrive off a defeat (LDDW). The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 40%, draw 21%, away 39%. Table: AFC Wimbledon 17th (16 pts), Blackpool 20th (12 pts).
Recent form
AFC Wimbledon – sample of six: W L L L D L, with one win. Most recent: v Blackpool, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Blackpool – sample of six: L D D W L W, with two wins. Most recent: at AFC Wimbledon, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.5 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): AFC Wimbledon 4–1 Blackpool. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: AFC Wimbledon 1.4, Blackpool 1.4 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
AFC Wimbledon
last 6- Wv Blackpool1–014 Nov
- L@ Crewe1–27 Nov
- L@ Stockport County1–231 Oct
- Lv Arsenal U211–227 Oct
- Dv Wycombe1–124 Oct
- Lv Mansfield Town0–320 Oct
Blackpool
last 6- L@ AFC Wimbledon0–114 Nov
- D@ AFC Hornchurch1–17 Nov
- D@ Sheffield Wednesday1–11 Nov
- Wv Aston Villa U213–227 Oct
- Lv Mansfield Town1–424 Oct
- Wv Milton Keynes Dons2–020 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 11 Mar 2026AFC Wimbledon4–1Blackpool
League One table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 14 | +11 | 23 |
| 6 |  Plymouth | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 |  Reading | 15 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  AFC Wimbledon | 14 | -11 | 16 |
| 18 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wigan | 15 | -10 | 14 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 13 | -5 | 12 |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 13 | -11 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, AFC Wimbledon or Blackpool?
The model gives AFC Wimbledon 40%, the draw 21% and Blackpool 39%.
What is the likeliest score in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Blackpool.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 58%.
When does AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Plough Lane – League One.