Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win
Milton Keynes Dons rate better at both ends – 2.3 expected for, 0.8 against. Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten across their last 5 (WWWWW); Burton Albion were beaten last time (LLWL). Price check: 1.53 on offer against a fair 1.46 – a positive edge.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Milton Keynes Dons are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Milton Keynes Dons 9th (21 pts), Burton Albion 15th (17 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Milton Keynes Dons read W W W W W W (six wins). Most recent: v Burton Albion, 6–2 (won). Output is high: 3.5 goals a game across the sample.
Burton Albion – sample of six: L L W L W D, with two wins. Most recent: at Milton Keynes Dons, 2–6 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.0 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Milton Keynes Dons 2.3, Burton Albion 0.8 – 3.1 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 60%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Milton Keynes Dons to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.53 against a fair 1.46. Likeliest score: Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Milton Keynes Dons
last 6- Wv Burton Albion6–214 Nov
- W@ Bromley2–110 Nov
- Wv Swindon Town2–17 Nov
- Wv Doncaster6–131 Oct
- Wv Bromley4–127 Oct
- W@ Stevenage1–024 Oct
Burton Albion
last 6- L@ Milton Keynes Dons2–614 Nov
- Lv Notts County0–310 Nov
- Wv AFC Rushden & Diamonds4–07 Nov
- L@ Wycombe0–231 Oct
- Wv Leyton Orient2–124 Oct
- Dv Bradford0–020 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
League One table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 14 | +11 | 23 |
| 6 |  Plymouth | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 |  Reading | 15 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  AFC Wimbledon | 14 | -11 | 16 |
| 18 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wigan | 15 | -10 | 14 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 13 | -5 | 12 |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 13 | -11 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
The Mind pick is Milton Keynes Dons to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.53 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Milton Keynes Dons or Burton Albion?
The model gives Milton Keynes Dons 68%, the draw 22% and Burton Albion 10%.
What is the likeliest score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Burton Albion.
How many goals are expected in Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 60% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Stadium MK – League One.