443 matches analysed today 118 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 14:36 WATTelegram18+
Poland III Liga Group 1 Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time
1–3
Half-time 0–0
67%Ząbkovia Ząbki23%Draw10%Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 3.5 projected goals. Mind Score 87. Polonia Lidzbark Warm.'s latest result was a win (WWL). Mind Score 87.

87Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Ząbkovia Ząbki1.4567% X · Draw4.2523% 2 · Polonia Lidzbark Warm.5.1010%

Double chance

1X1.0890% 121.1377% X22.3233%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1587% · fair Under 1.57.5213% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.3368% Under 2.52.8332%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.8648% Under 3.51.8152%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.4364% NG · No2.5036%

Half-time result

HT 11.9352% HT X2.4833% HT 24.9515%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Ząbkovia Ząbki are clear favourites at 67% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Ząbkovia Ząbki 6th (25 pts), Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 11th (21 pts).

Recent form

Ząbkovia Ząbki – sample of six: L W D D W D, with two wins. Most recent: at Olimpia Elbląg, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.2 a game.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. bring a W L W L W W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v Troszyn, 4–2 (won). Output is high: 2.5 goals a game across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Ząbkovia Ząbki 2.5, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1.0 – 3.5 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 68%, BTTS 64%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 87. Likeliest score: Ząbkovia Ząbki 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Ząbkovia Ząbki

last 6
  • L@ Olimpia Elbląg0–27 Nov
  • Wv Swit2–031 Oct
  • D@ Wisła Płock II2–224 Oct
  • D@ Troszyn1–118 Oct
  • W@ ŁKS Łódź II3–014 Oct
  • Dv Jagiellonia II2–210 Oct
1.7scored / game1.2conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

last 6
  • Wv Troszyn4–27 Nov
  • L@ Jagiellonia II1–230 Oct
  • Wv ŁKS Łódź II3–024 Oct
  • L@ Mławianka Mława2–317 Oct
  • Wv Łomża3–210 Oct
  • W@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–13 Oct
2.5scored / game1.7conceded83%GG100%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

III Liga Group 1 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo171223+1538
2Wigry Suwałki171142+1737
3Swit171025+1132
4Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki17935+930
5Warta Sieradz17854+629
6Ząbkovia Ząbki17746+225
7Wisła Płock II17746+125
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów17737024
10ŁKS Łódź II17737-124
11Polonia Lidzbark Warm.17638021
12Olimpia Elbląg17638-521
13Jagiellonia II16556-120
14Widzew II16547+219
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Troszyn17458-1417
17Mławianka Mława174211-1614
18Łomża170512-205

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 87.

Who is favourite, Ząbkovia Ząbki or Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

The model gives Ząbkovia Ząbki 67%, the draw 23% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 10%.

What is the likeliest score in Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ząbkovia Ząbki 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm..

How many goals are expected in Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

Around 3.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 68% and both teams to score 64%.

When does Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 13:00 WAT – III Liga Group 1.