421 matches analysed today 51 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:03 WATTelegram18+
Spain Segunda División Sat 12 Sep 2026 · JP Financial Estadio Full time

Cadiz

WDDDL
0–1
Half-time 0–0
34%Cadiz22%Draw43%Las Palmas

Cadiz vs Las Palmas prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 2.9, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 78% of the model's runs. Cadiz were beaten last time (LLWW); Las Palmas's latest result was a win (WWD). Mind Score 78.

78Mind Score Odds– Score1–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Cadiz2.7034% X · Draw3.1022% 2 · Las Palmas2.4543%

Double chance

1X1.5057% 121.3378% X21.4466%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2878% · fair Under 1.54.5922% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8255% · fair Under 2.52.2245% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.0733% · fair Under 3.51.4867% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7560% NG · No1.9540%

Half-time result

HT 13.2027% HT X2.1041% HT 23.1032%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A slight away lean – Las Palmas 43%, Cadiz 34%. Table: Cadiz 20th (10 pts), Las Palmas 11th (20 pts).

Recent form

Cadiz – sample of six: L D D D W D, with one win. Most recent: at Almeria, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.3 a game.

Las Palmas – sample of six: D L W W L W, with three wins. Most recent: v Leganes, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.5 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Apr 2026): Cadiz 1–2 Las Palmas. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Cadiz 1.3, Las Palmas 1.5 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 60%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78. Likeliest score: Cadiz 1–2 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Cadiz

last 6
  • L@ Almeria2–36 Sep
  • Dv Valladolid1–130 Aug
  • D@ Eldense2–222 Aug
  • Dv Celta de Vigo II0–015 Aug
  • Wv Granada CF2–05 Aug
  • D@ Tenerife2–21 Aug
1.5scored / game1.3conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Las Palmas

last 6
  • Dv Leganes0–04 Sep
  • L@ Girona2–529 Aug
  • W@ AD Ceuta FC2–022 Aug
  • Wv Albacete2–116 Aug
  • Lv NEOM0–131 Jul
  • Wv União de Leiria3–228 Jul
1.5scored / game1.5conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 27 Apr 2026Cadiz1–2Las Palmas

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria141022+1532
2Castellón13931+1930
3Girona14734+1124
4Burgos14734+324
5Mallorca13652+823
6Eibar12723+723
7Granada CF12723+623
8Sporting Gijon14725-123
9Oviedo14635+221
10Cordoba14626020
11Las Palmas13625-220
12Valladolid14536+118
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Leganes14437-1015
16Eldense13427-614
17Celta de Vigo II13346-613
18Real Sociedad II14347-713
19FC Andorra13328-611
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78.

Who is favourite, Cadiz or Las Palmas?

The model gives Cadiz 34%, the draw 22% and Las Palmas 43%.

What is the likeliest score in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Cadiz 1–2 Las Palmas.

How many goals are expected in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?

Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 60%.

When does Cadiz vs Las Palmas kick off?

Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 WAT, at JP Financial Estadio – Segunda División.