Girona vs Castellón prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.5 goals projected – a low-event game. Mind Score 76. Girona's latest result was a win (WLLW); Castellón are unbeaten across their last 4 (WDWW). Mind Score 76.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Girona 44%, Castellón 35%, draw 21%. Table: Girona 3rd (24 pts), Castellón 2nd (30 pts).
Recent form
Girona bring a W W L D D D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Sporting Gijon, 2–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Castellón – sample of six: W W D W L D, with three wins. Most recent: v Albacete, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Girona 3–3 Castellón. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Girona 1.3, Castellón 1.2 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 61%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76. Likeliest score: Girona 1–0 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Girona
last 6- W@ Sporting Gijon2–05 Sep
- Wv Las Palmas5–229 Aug
- L@ Cordoba1–221 Aug
- Dv Leganes1–116 Aug
- D@ Gimnastic1–18 Aug
- Dv Sabadell2–27 Aug
Castellón
last 6- Wv Albacete2–06 Sep
- W@ Celta de Vigo II2–131 Aug
- Dv Sabadell0–023 Aug
- W@ Real Sociedad II1–014 Aug
- Lv Levante1–38 Aug
- D@ Hércules0–07 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 29 Jul 2026Girona3–3Castellón
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Girona vs Castellón?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76.
Who is favourite, Girona or Castellón?
The model gives Girona 44%, the draw 21% and Castellón 35%.
What is the likeliest score in Girona vs Castellón?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Girona 1–0 Castellón.
How many goals are expected in Girona vs Castellón?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Girona vs Castellón kick off?
Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi – Segunda División.