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Spain Segunda División Sat 17 Oct 2026 · Estadio Municipal de Ipurua Full time

Eibar

WWWWL
1–1
Half-time 0–0
39%Eibar24%Draw37%Mallorca

Eibar vs Mallorca prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Under 3.5 goals

2.4 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 77. Mind Score 77.

77Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Eibar2.5039% X · Draw2.9024% 2 · Mallorca2.7537%

Double chance

1X1.4063% 121.3676% X21.5061%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4370% · fair Under 1.53.3430% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.2744% · fair Under 2.51.7956% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.3523% · fair Under 3.51.3077% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8059% NG · No1.9541%

Half-time result

HT 13.0028% HT X2.1045% HT 23.3027%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 39%, draw 24%, away 37%. Table: Eibar 6th (23 pts), Mallorca 5th (23 pts).

Recent form

Eibar bring a L W W W W W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: at Oviedo, 1–3 (lost). The attack is running at 2.7 per game.

The last six for Mallorca read W D L W W D (three wins). Most recent: v Las Palmas, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Eibar 1.2, Mallorca 1.2 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 44%, BTTS 59%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 77. Likeliest score: Eibar 1–0 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Eibar

last 6
  • L@ Oviedo1–312 Oct
  • W@ Albacete3–13 Oct
  • Wv Las Palmas3–227 Sep
  • W@ Eldense2–119 Sep
  • W@ Celta de Vigo II4–014 Sep
  • Wv Granada CF3–06 Sep
2.7scored / game1.2conceded67%GG100%over 2.5

Mallorca

last 6
  • Wv Las Palmas3–111 Oct
  • D@ Girona0–04 Oct
  • Lv Almeria0–127 Sep
  • W@ Real Sociedad II1–019 Sep
  • Wv Sabadell2–013 Sep
  • D@ Eldense0–05 Sep
1.0scored / game0.3conceded17%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria141022+1532
2Castellón13931+1930
3Girona14734+1124
4Burgos14734+324
5Mallorca13652+823
6Eibar12723+723
7Granada CF12723+623
8Sporting Gijon14725-123
9Oviedo14635+221
10Cordoba14626020
11Las Palmas13625-220
12Valladolid14536+118
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Leganes14437-1015
16Eldense13427-614
17Celta de Vigo II13346-613
18Real Sociedad II14347-713
19FC Andorra13328-611
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77.

Who is favourite, Eibar or Mallorca?

The model gives Eibar 39%, the draw 24% and Mallorca 37%.

What is the likeliest score in Eibar vs Mallorca?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Eibar 1–0 Mallorca.

How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Mallorca?

Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 59%.

When does Eibar vs Mallorca kick off?

Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:15 WAT, at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua – Segunda División.