Real Sociedad II vs Almeria prediction: Almeria or draw
Almeria avoid defeat in 85% of the model's runs. Real Sociedad II's form is mixed (DDW, 1 W 2 D 0 L); Almeria won most recently (WWDD). Price check: 1.29 on offer against a fair 1.18 – a positive edge.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Almeria 64%, Real Sociedad II 15%. Table: Real Sociedad II 18th (13 pts), Almeria 1st (32 pts).
Recent form
Real Sociedad II – sample of six: L L W L L L, with one win. Most recent: at Celta de Vigo II, 1–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.7 a game.
Almeria bring a W W W W W W line into this one: six wins from six. Most recent: v Leganes, 3–0 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): Almeria 5–1 Real Sociedad II. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Real Sociedad II 0.8, Almeria 2.0 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Almeria or draw – Mind Score 85, bookmaker price around 1.29 against a fair 1.18. Likeliest score: Real Sociedad II 0–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Real Sociedad II
last 6- L@ Celta de Vigo II1–410 Oct
- Lv Granada CF2–34 Oct
- W@ Leicester City U214–030 Sep
- L@ AD Ceuta FC1–326 Sep
- Lv Mallorca0–119 Sep
- L@ Aston Villa U211–515 Sep
Almeria
last 6- Wv Leganes3–011 Oct
- Wv Burgos2–13 Oct
- W@ Mallorca1–027 Sep
- Wv Celta de Vigo II2–020 Sep
- W@ Cordoba2–012 Sep
- Wv Cadiz3–26 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 29 Mar 2026Almeria5–1Real Sociedad II
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
The Mind pick is Almeria or draw with a Mind Score of 85, priced around 1.29 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Real Sociedad II or Almeria?
The model gives Real Sociedad II 15%, the draw 21% and Almeria 64%.
What is the likeliest score in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Real Sociedad II 0–1 Almeria.
How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Real Sociedad II vs Almeria kick off?
Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 WAT, at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta – Segunda División.