405 matches analysed today 10 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 07:51 WATTelegram18+
Spain Segunda División Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta Full time
2–2
Half-time 0–1
42%Real Sociedad II22%Draw36%Sporting Gijon

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 2.7, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 75. Real Sociedad II's form is mixed (DDW, 1 W 2 D 0 L); Sporting Gijon's form is mixed (DLWWL, 2 W 1 D 2 L). Price check: 1.26 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

75Mind Score Odds1.26 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Real Sociedad II2.1442% X · Draw3.4022% 2 · Sporting Gijon3.5436%

Double chance

1X1.3164% 121.3378% X21.7258%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2675% Under 1.53.6125%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8551% Under 2.52.0049%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.9430% Under 3.51.3870%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6462% NG · No2.1338%

Half-time result

HT 12.6731% HT X2.0642% HT 24.1027%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 42%, draw 22%, away 36%. Table: Real Sociedad II 18th (12 pts), Sporting Gijon 7th (22 pts).

Recent form

Real Sociedad II – sample of six: D W L L L L, with one win. Most recent: at Sabadell, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.0 a game.

Sporting Gijon – sample of six: L W W L W W, with four wins. Most recent: v Valladolid, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.3 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Apr 2026): Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Real Sociedad II 1.4, Sporting Gijon 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 62%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.26 against a fair 1.34. Likeliest score: Real Sociedad II 2–1 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Real Sociedad II

last 6
  • D@ Sabadell0–09 Nov
  • Wv Girona1–031 Oct
  • L@ Las Palmas0–124 Oct
  • Lv Almeria2–417 Oct
  • L@ Celta de Vigo II1–410 Oct
  • Lv Granada CF2–34 Oct
1.0scored / game2.0conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Sporting Gijon

last 6
  • Lv Valladolid1–28 Nov
  • W@ AD Ceuta FC2–01 Nov
  • W@ Guijuelo3–129 Oct
  • L@ Castellón0–425 Oct
  • Wv Albacete2–117 Oct
  • W@ Cadiz1–011 Oct
1.5scored / game1.3conceded50%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 6 Apr 2026Sporting Gijon1–0Real Sociedad II

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos14734+324
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Leganes14437-1015
16Eldense13427-614
17Celta de Vigo II13346-613
18Real Sociedad II13337-712
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.26 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Real Sociedad II or Sporting Gijon?

The model gives Real Sociedad II 42%, the draw 22% and Sporting Gijon 36%.

What is the likeliest score in Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Real Sociedad II 2–1 Sporting Gijon.

How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 62%.

When does Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:15 WAT, at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta – Segunda División.