Valladolid vs Castellón prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.9 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 65. Valladolid have taken 3 wins from 4 (LWWW); the form line for Castellón reads WDWW – no defeats. Price check: 1.42 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Castellón 47%, Valladolid 33%. Table: Valladolid 12th (18 pts), Castellón 2nd (30 pts).
Recent form
Valladolid – sample of six: W W W L L W, with four wins. Most recent: at Sporting Gijon, 2–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.5 per game.
The last six for Castellón read D W W W L D (three wins). Most recent: at Burgos, 1–1 (drawn). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Valladolid 1.3, Castellón 1.6 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.42 against a fair 1.53. Likeliest score: Valladolid 1–2 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Valladolid
last 6- W@ Sporting Gijon2–18 Nov
- Wv Leganes4–32 Nov
- W@ Covadonga1–029 Oct
- L@ Granada CF1–223 Oct
- Lv Eldense2–318 Oct
- Wv Albacete5–012 Oct
Castellón
last 6- D@ Burgos1–11 Nov
- W@ Conquense3–029 Oct
- Wv Sporting Gijon4–025 Oct
- W@ Las Palmas3–017 Oct
- L@ FC Andorra0–111 Oct
- Dv AD Ceuta FC1–14 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Valladolid vs Castellón?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.42 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Valladolid or Castellón?
The model gives Valladolid 33%, the draw 20% and Castellón 47%.
What is the likeliest score in Valladolid vs Castellón?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Valladolid 1–2 Castellón.
How many goals are expected in Valladolid vs Castellón?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Valladolid vs Castellón kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Estadio José Zorrilla – Segunda División.