Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.7 projected goals. Probability 73%. Gimnástica Segoviana have no win in 3 (LLL); Real Ávila have no win in 4 (LLDL). Price check: 1.26 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Gimnástica Segoviana strong home favourites (60%). Table: Gimnástica Segoviana 14th (10 pts), Real Ávila 17th (7 pts).
Recent form
Gimnástica Segoviana bring a L L L D D D line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: at Albacete II, 0–1 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Real Ávila read L L D L L D (zero wins). Most recent: v Salamanca UDS, 1–3 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Real Ávila 2–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Gimnástica Segoviana 1.8, Real Ávila 0.9 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 58%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.26 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: Gimnástica Segoviana 2–0 Real Ávila. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Gimnástica Segoviana
last 6- L@ Albacete II0–18 Nov
- L@ Salamanca UDS0–11 Nov
- Lv Cultural Leonesa0–127 Oct
- Dv Atlético Tordesillas1–124 Oct
- D@ A Madrid III1–117 Oct
- Dv Real Valladolid II1–111 Oct
Real Ávila
last 6- Lv Salamanca UDS1–38 Nov
- Lv Real Madrid III0–11 Nov
- Dv Unionistas de Salamanca0–029 Oct
- L@ Atlético Paso0–324 Oct
- L@ Real Valladolid II1–218 Oct
- Dv Numancia1–111 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 19 Apr 2026Real Ávila2–1Gimnástica Segoviana
Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Numancia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  Salamanca UDS | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 3 |  SS Reyes | 10 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Conquense | 9 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  A Madrid III | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Real Valladolid II | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Navalcarnero | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  CF Talavera | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guadalajara | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albacete II | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 |  Real Madrid III | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atlético Tordesillas | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  RSD Alcalá | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Gimnástica Segoviana | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Atlético Paso | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Getafe II | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 |  Real Ávila | 10 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Calvo Sotelo | 10 | -14 | 6 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.26 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Gimnástica Segoviana or Real Ávila?
The model gives Gimnástica Segoviana 60%, the draw 21% and Real Ávila 19%.
What is the likeliest score in Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Gimnástica Segoviana 2–0 Real Ávila.
How many goals are expected in Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 49% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Ávila kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 17:00 WAT, at Estadio La Albuera – Segunda División RFEF Group 5.