RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III prediction: RSD Alcalá to win
RSD Alcalá rate better at both ends – 2.0 expected for, 0.8 against. RSD Alcalá's form is mixed (DDDL, 0 W 3 D 1 L). The bookmaker's 1.62 beats the model's fair price of 1.55.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
RSD Alcalá are clear favourites at 64% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: RSD Alcalá 13th (10 pts), A Madrid III 5th (18 pts).
Recent form
RSD Alcalá bring a D D D L D D line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: at Atlético Paso, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
The last six for A Madrid III read D W L D D W (two wins). Most recent: v Atlético Tordesillas, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.5 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: RSD Alcalá 2.0, A Madrid III 0.8 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 54%.
The pick
The Mind pick: RSD Alcalá to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.62 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: RSD Alcalá 1–0 A Madrid III. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
RSD Alcalá
last 6- D@ Atlético Paso1–18 Nov
- D@ Conquense2–21 Nov
- Dv Las Palmas1–127 Oct
- Lv SS Reyes1–224 Oct
- Dv Real Madrid III0–018 Oct
- D@ Calvo Sotelo0–011 Oct
A Madrid III
last 6- Dv Atlético Tordesillas3–38 Nov
- Wv CF Talavera1–031 Oct
- L@ Albacete II1–225 Oct
- Dv Gimnástica Segoviana1–117 Oct
- D@ Navalcarnero1–111 Oct
- Wv Conquense3–24 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Numancia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  Salamanca UDS | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 3 |  SS Reyes | 10 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Conquense | 9 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  A Madrid III | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Real Valladolid II | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Navalcarnero | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  CF Talavera | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guadalajara | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albacete II | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 |  Real Madrid III | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atlético Tordesillas | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  RSD Alcalá | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Gimnástica Segoviana | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Atlético Paso | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Getafe II | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 |  Real Ávila | 10 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Calvo Sotelo | 10 | -14 | 6 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
The Mind pick is RSD Alcalá to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.62 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, RSD Alcalá or A Madrid III?
The model gives RSD Alcalá 64%, the draw 23% and A Madrid III 13%.
What is the likeliest score in RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is RSD Alcalá 1–0 A Madrid III.
How many goals are expected in RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 54%.
When does RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – Segunda División RFEF Group 5.