Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction: Over 2.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.3 projected goals. The line lands in 65% of the model's runs. Sporting CP's last 5 reads WWWWL – 4 wins; Moreirense were beaten last time (LWW). The 1.44 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Sporting CP strong home favourites (74%). Table: Sporting CP 3rd (24 pts), Moreirense 9th (14 pts).
Recent form
Sporting CP bring a W W W L L W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Shakhtar Donetsk, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Moreirense – sample of six: W W L L D W, with three wins. Most recent: v Estrela, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sporting CP 2.4, Moreirense 0.8 – 3.3 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 65%, both to score at 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Sporting CP 2–1 Moreirense. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sporting CP
last 6- W@ Shakhtar Donetsk1–03 Nov
- W@ Casa Pia2–030 Oct
- Wv Maritimo2–127 Oct
- Lv Academico Viseu1–225 Oct
- Lv Lask Linz2–321 Oct
- W@ Lens2–013 Oct
Moreirense
last 6- Wv Estrela2–131 Oct
- W@ Estoril3–125 Oct
- L@ AVS0–117 Oct
- Lv GIL Vicente0–19 Oct
- D@ Vitória SC1–120 Sep
- Wv Maritimo3–114 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Primeira Liga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sporting CP or Moreirense?
The model gives Sporting CP 74%, the draw 14% and Moreirense 12%.
What is the likeliest score in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sporting CP 2–1 Moreirense.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 65% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Sporting CP vs Moreirense kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 21:30 WAT – Primeira Liga.