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Russia First League Sun 15 Nov 2026 · Petrovsky Stadium Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
64%Ska-khabarovsk24%Draw12%Leningradets

Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

Ska-khabarovsk (1.9) plus Leningradets (0.7) puts 2.7 goals on the board. The line lands in 73% of the model's runs. Ska-khabarovsk's form is mixed (DWW, 2 W 1 D 0 L); Leningradets's form is mixed (DWD, 1 W 2 D 0 L). The 1.27 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

73Mind Score Odds1.27 Score2–0

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Ska-khabarovsk1.7064% X · Draw3.6224% 2 · Leningradets4.5012%

Double chance

1X1.1688% 121.2476% X22.0236%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2773% Under 1.53.1427%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9549% Under 2.51.7851%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.2828% Under 3.51.2572%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8649% NG · No1.8251%

Half-time result

HT 12.2846% HT X2.1240% HT 25.0013%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Ska-khabarovsk are clear favourites at 64% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Ska-khabarovsk 15th (16 pts), Leningradets 13th (18 pts).

Recent form

Ska-khabarovsk – sample of six: W D W W L W, with four wins. Most recent: v Tekstilshchik, 3–0 (won). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

The last six for Leningradets read D D W D L W (two wins). Most recent: at Rotor Volgograd, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Ska-khabarovsk 0 wins, Leningradets 1, draws 1; 3.5 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): Leningradets 1–1 Ska-khabarovsk. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Ska-khabarovsk 1.9, Leningradets 0.7 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 49%, BTTS 49%.

The pick

The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.27 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: Ska-khabarovsk 2–0 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Ska-khabarovsk

last 6
  • Wv Tekstilshchik3–07 Nov
  • D@ Leningradets1–14 Nov
  • W@ FK Neftekhimik2–031 Oct
  • Wv Enisey3–024 Oct
  • Lv Volga Ulyanovsk1–218 Oct
  • Wv Dinamo Kirov2–014 Oct
2.0scored / game0.5conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Leningradets

last 6
  • D@ Rotor Volgograd1–17 Nov
  • Dv Ska-khabarovsk1–14 Nov
  • Wv Enisey3–031 Oct
  • D@ FK Neftekhimik1–125 Oct
  • L@ Spartak Kostroma0–217 Oct
  • Wv Luki-Energiya2–014 Oct
1.3scored / game0.8conceded50%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 4 Nov 2026Leningradets1–1Ska-khabarovsk
  • 5 Sep 2026Leningradets3–2Ska-khabarovsk

First League table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.27 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Ska-khabarovsk or Leningradets?

The model gives Ska-khabarovsk 64%, the draw 24% and Leningradets 12%.

What is the likeliest score in Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ska-khabarovsk 2–0 Leningradets.

How many goals are expected in Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 49% and both teams to score 49%.

When does Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 06:00 WAT, at Petrovsky Stadium – First League.