FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.5 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 73% of the model's runs. Shinnik Yaroslavl's latest result was a win (WLW). Price check: 1.30 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: FC Sochi 55%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 20%, draw 24%. Table: FC Sochi 4th (32 pts), Shinnik Yaroslavl 7th (26 pts).
Recent form
FC Sochi – sample of six: L L W W W D, with three wins. Most recent: at Enisey, 0–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl – sample of six: W L W D L W, with three wins. Most recent: v FC UFA, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2 FC Sochi. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: FC Sochi 1.5, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 52%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: FC Sochi 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
FC Sochi
last 6- L@ Enisey0–37 Nov
- Lv Ural0–21 Nov
- W@ Tekstilshchik3–124 Oct
- W@ Rotor Volgograd1–016 Oct
- Wv FC UFA1–011 Oct
- Dv Ska-khabarovsk1–118 Sep
Shinnik Yaroslavl
last 6- Wv FC UFA2–17 Nov
- L@ Chelyabinsk0–231 Oct
- Wv Spartak Kostroma2–126 Oct
- D@ Veles1–118 Oct
- L@ Nizhny Novgorod0–414 Oct
- Wv Tekstilshchik2–010 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 12 Jul 2026Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2FC Sochi
First League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Torpedo Moskva | 18 | +17 | 35 |
| 3 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 19 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, FC Sochi or Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives FC Sochi 55%, the draw 24% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 20%.
What is the likeliest score in FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is FC Sochi 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl.
How many goals are expected in FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 52%.
When does FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Fisht Olympic Stadium – First League.