Knokke vs Tienen prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.7 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 67%. Tienen's latest result was a win (WLL). The 1.44 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 39%, draw 24%, away 37%.
Recent form
The last six for Knokke read L L L L L W (one win). Most recent: at Dessel Sport, 0–1 (lost). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Tienen read W L L L D D (one win). Most recent: v Hoogstraten, 3–1 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Knokke 2–0 Tienen. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Knokke 1.3, Tienen 1.4 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 61%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.50. Likeliest score: Knokke 1–0 Tienen. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Knokke
last 6- L@ Dessel Sport0–17 Nov
- Lv Harelbeke0–231 Oct
- L@ Roeselare Daisel1–224 Oct
- Lv Merelbeke0–318 Oct
- L@ Houtvenne0–210 Oct
- Wv Oud-Heverlee Leuven II3–24 Oct
Tienen
last 6- Wv Hoogstraten3–18 Nov
- L@ Thes Sport0–130 Oct
- Lv Mandel United0–225 Oct
- L@ Heist0–421 Oct
- D@ Spouwen-Mopertingen2–211 Oct
- Dv Merelbeke0–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 19 Apr 2026Knokke2–0Tienen
More First Amateur Division predictions
League page →
Sporting Charleroi II
Onhaye
Standard Liège II
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Cercle Brugge II
Houtvenne
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Merelbeke
Roeselare Daisel
Harelbeke
Zelzate
Spouwen-MopertingenFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Knokke vs Tienen?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Knokke or Tienen?
The model gives Knokke 39%, the draw 24% and Tienen 37%.
What is the likeliest score in Knokke vs Tienen?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Knokke 1–0 Tienen.
How many goals are expected in Knokke vs Tienen?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Knokke vs Tienen kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park – First Amateur Division.