Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke prediction: Over 2.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 3.3, clear of the 2.5 line. Probability 66%. Oud-Heverlee Leuven II's form is mixed (DDD, 0 W 3 D 0 L); Merelbeke won most recently (WLD). Price check: 1.37 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II edge it at home, 57% to 20%, with the draw on 23%.
Recent form
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II bring a D D D W D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Roeselare Daisel, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.5 a game.
Merelbeke bring a W L D W L D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Heist, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.3 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1–3 Merelbeke. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2.1, Merelbeke 1.2 – 3.3 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 66%, BTTS 64%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.37 against a fair 1.53. Likeliest score: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
last 6- D@ Roeselare Daisel0–07 Nov
- Dv Cercle Brugge II3–31 Nov
- D@ Dessel Sport2–224 Oct
- Wv Harelbeke4–118 Oct
- Dv Heist0–011 Oct
- L@ Knokke2–34 Oct
Merelbeke
last 6- Wv Heist2–16 Nov
- Lv Roeselare Daisel0–430 Oct
- D@ Houtvenne1–124 Oct
- W@ Knokke3–018 Oct
- Lv Mandel United0–211 Oct
- D@ Tienen0–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 6 Apr 2026Oud-Heverlee Leuven II1–3Merelbeke
More First Amateur Division predictions
League page →
Sporting Charleroi II
Onhaye
Standard Liège II
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Cercle Brugge II
Houtvenne
Knokke
Tienen
Roeselare Daisel
Harelbeke
Zelzate
Spouwen-MopertingenFrequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.37 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II or Merelbeke?
The model gives Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 57%, the draw 23% and Merelbeke 20%.
What is the likeliest score in Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2–1 Merelbeke.
How many goals are expected in Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke?
Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 66% and both teams to score 64%.
When does Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Merelbeke kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 15:00 WAT – First Amateur Division.